|
About Me My work has appeared in a number of major publications either as writer, photographer, or source. I enjoy talking about all things automotive. Recent Posts
Categories
Links
CarSpace Hudson's BlogAll around the car world there are stories and these are just a few of them. A new blog is posted every Monday. Sometimes more often. Jun 4, 2009 - Bankruptcies and Government LoansWe all know that the automotive industry is in trouble. Bankruptcies at GM and Chrysler were the expected outcome. These two companies used the “excuse” of economic upheaval to radically reorganize themselves in ways that labor unions, stockholders, and franchise laws wouldn’t allow otherwise. But their current problems are not wholly the fault of the UAW or the dealers. There’s plenty of blame for the Big3 themeselves. GM (and Chrysler and Ford) have not helped themselves by concentrating on trucks. It has been very short-sighted to focus up to 60% of their product mix on trucks when the marketplace is only, at best, 50% trucks. And when fuel prices spike (which we all expected at some point), trucks are the first segments to be hit. Sure, the other manufacturers have been hurt but the Big3, and their concentration on the US market, has hurt them more than others. GM and Chrysler are not in the same place that Chrysler was in 1979. When Chrysler asked for loan guarantees thirty years ago, they had radical new products ready to hit the market. Chrysler’s newest products, the Dodge Omni and Plymouth Horizon, had already set the groundwork for the K-Cars which would, in turn, lead to replacing all of Chrysler’s antiquated products…it was a seismic shift at the time. GM (and definitely Chrysler) don’t have that product ready to rock the industry. The K-Car in 1980 was revolutionary…a $6,000 6-passenger car that got 25 mpg city. Today, GM has some very good products. Vehicles like the Chevrolet Malibu and Cadillac CTS are very competitive, but they aren’t class-leading. It’s not that GM can’t build class-leading products; it’s just that they have the whole market to cover with “good” products while other companies can concentrate on one segment. It’s a very competitive marketplace with very strong competitors. GM is spread very thin. Having good gas mileage or winning an award or two does not mean the vehicle is “class leading.” While there is absolutely a need in the marketplace for vehicles like the Silverado, recent economic shifts have proven that you can’t rely on sales of full-sized trucks to carry the rest of the company. Manufacturers need to be ready with cars when more than half of the marketplace buys cars and yet more than half of the sales from GM (and Ford and Chrysler) come from trucks. It’s a global marketplace and no company is rooted in any one country. GM, like Toyota and Honda, harnesses their global reach to design and build their vehicles as best as it can. Whether it’s Australians working on the Zeta platform (for the Chevrolet Camaro and Pontiac G8) or Germans working on the Epsilon platform (for the Chevrolet Malibu, Saturn Aura, Pontiac G6) or Koreans working on the Theta platform (for the Saturn Vue and the new Chevrolet Equinox), the money and technology flows around the world. But now GM is selling divisions and brands and reducing it’s ability to compete globally, which had been a key strength of General Motors. If GM were to close its doors (which I can’t see happening), the supplier base would be hurt. But most of GM’s suppliers have spread their eggs across many baskets, including many of the transplants. It would take some time, but the suppliers would shift their focus from GM to one or more of the transplants (and/or remaining Big3). And the production volume lost if GM were to disappear would eventually be made up by other companies. Production volume would remain in the US as it is more economical to build many vehicles in North America than to import them. Suppliers would grow to support this change in the industry. Auto workers would remain, supplier workers would remain…possibly at lower volumes but still making the same number of vehicles and the industry would continue. The transplant companies are not so dumb that they don’t realize a vibrant US economy is necessary for the sales of their products. Whether or not the car companies are physically based in the US, the American economy will survive and grow and thrive. And when it comes to the US market, the Big3 have put themselves in a bad position. While the reliability and durability of Big3 cars is on-par with the top brands from other countries, perceived quality and dynamic thinking is not quite there. Why did Toyota and Honda have to come out with hybrids nearly a decade before any of the Big3? Why aren’t there any diesel cars from the Big3? GM was ahead of the curve with the EV1…so where has that technology led? GM was toying with fuel cell and steam(!) powered vehicles in the 1960s and rotary and Sterling engines in the 1970s…what have they done lately? The US can and does compete on a manufacturing level…or else Toyota and Honda and Nissan and Mercedes-Benz and BMW and the rest wouldn’t be making vehicles on US soil. Why do US manufacturers need to put $3,500 of incentives on every car and truck for every $2,000 that the other brands use to sell their products? Why are 5-year old GM products worth a fraction of the competitive models from Honda and Toyota? GM touts the strength of its Chevrolet Malibu, but why does the Camry (as well as the Accord and Altima) outsell the Malibu with fewer dealers and a higher price tag? Loaning money to failing companies without a concrete turnaround plan was a losing proposition and bankruptcy was the only possible outcome. Without filing for bankruptcy, GM had the impossible task of turning itself around. With a bankruptcy filing, they have the nearly impossible task of convincing the buying public to make a long-term investment, with the purchase of a vehicle, in a company that just walked away from many of its American creditors…including contracts with American workers. History has shown that businesses do not learn much from the past experiences of their industry, so little can be expected from GM and Chrysler following this recent set of events. Loaning money to these companies should be treated as if a parent were loaning money to their child: it’s as good as gone. Even with large holdings in GM and Chrysler, getting any return on the government’s investment is a long shot. With some luck, the American workers will take this opportunity to find more stable employment in preparation for the next market shake up.
Comments
Add Your Comment:
To post a comment about this blog you must be signed-in |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||