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The Big Rigs

We're gonna talk about the big ones... trucks and buses that require those 3 marker lights front and rear. Everything from dual rear wheel pickups to class 8 trucks to the bus that takes you to work.

Oct 31, 2008 - Cerberus, suck it up

Cerberus Capital Management has shown their true colors in the last few months.  It's no surprise that these are money people and not industry people.  Their reason to exist is to move money around... I understand that.

So now that the economy has gone in the big green trash bin, Cerberus has its eye on a prize - trade Chrysler for GMAC so they can get their hands on some of that $700 billion being made available to banks.  GMAC, for those unaware, has a mortgage business in addition to the car loan business.  They have stated this week they are going to apply for bank holding company status in order to apply for those federal funds.

But yesterday, reports surfaced that the Treasury Department has no interest in funding a GM-Chrysler merger.  That puts GM in the very unenviable position of facing Chapter 11 within months if they don't get their hands on some cash to replenish their coffers.

As for Chrysler, Cerberus has three options:
A) Allow Chrysler to complete its consolidation plan, let them develop the vehicles in planning, and ride out the economy
B) Negotiate with Renauilt-Nissan
C) Issue an IPO for Chrysler LLC and let stockholders have some say

I'm really surprised that option C has not been mentioned by anyone.  Cerberus can keep a percentage of stock as an equity share, if they haven't completed the buyout of Daimler AG, let Daimler convert their equity to stock ownership as well, and let the market do the rest.

It's no secret that the Detroit 3 have too many brands and too many badge-engineered models.  A slimmed-down Chrysler could really position itself to be the survivor.  Here's what should be left:
Dodge:  Ram, Sprinter, Caravan, Charger, Challenger, Hornet, revamped Caliber
Chrysler:  300, Sebring
Jeep:  Patriot, Wrangler, Grand Cherokee
And since most of these vehicles have it in their European offerings, bring the diesels here to the US.  A diesel Caravan would blow the remaining competition out of the water.  A diesel Patriot has already achieved a documented 65+ mpg in Europe. And a diesel 300 would put the marque ahead of the competition with fuel economy.

Probably won't happen that way... but it should.

10:07 am | Categories: chrysler
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Comments
pf_flyer - Nov 22, 2008 7:03 am
An IPO would be interesting. Would they find enough investor with enough steel in their spines to buy?
kcram - Oct 31, 2008 10:55 am
Ford's at $2 because they're in even deeper thick stuff than Chrysler. They're far more entrenched in trucks, they're trying to unload Volvo, they have a dying brand in Mercury. A Chrysler IPO could easily come in at - and more importantly, stay higher than - Ford's stock price.
steve_ - Oct 31, 2008 10:21 am
Cerberus owns 51% of GMAC right now (and they put the screws to GM financing so put pressure on GM to buy Chrysler). An IPO could work, even though the financial climate is pretty bad for IPOs right now. If a share of Ford is worth about $2, would anyone pay more than a penny for a share of the New New Chrysler? How about just selling the company to the employees?
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